Tuesday 29 December 2015

INFLATION

INFLATION IN THE USA


Definition

According to Investopedia, Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising and, consequently, the purchasing power of currency is falling. Central banks attempt to limit inflation, and avoid deflation, in order to keep the economy running smoothly.

As a result of inflation, the purchasing power of a unit of currency falls. For example, if the inflation rate is 5%, then a pack of gum that costs $1 in a given year will cost $1.05 the next year. As goods and services require more money to purchase, the implicit value of that money falls.

Inflation in the USA
 
In 1964, inflation measured a little more than 1 percent per year. It had been in this vicinity over the preceding six years. Inflation began ratcheting upward in the mid-1960s and reached more than 14 percent in 1980. It eventually declined to average only 3.5 percent in the latter half of the 1980s. 

While economists debate the relative importance of the factors that motivated and perpetuated inflation for more than a decade, there is little debate about its source. The origins of the Great Inflation were policies that allowed for an excessive growth in the supply of money—Federal Reserve Policies.  

The Great Inflation: 1965-1982

The Great Inflation was the defining macroeconomic event of the second half of the twentieth century. Over the nearly two decades it lasted, the global monetary system established during World War II was abandoned, there were four economic recessions, two severe energy shortages, and the unprecedented peacetime implementation of wage and price controls. It was, according to Jeremy J. Siegel, a prominent economist, “the greatest failure of American macroeconomic policy in the postwar period.”   
 
But that failure also brought a transformative change in macroeconomic theory and, ultimately, the rules that today guide the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve and other central banks around the world. If the Great Inflation was a consequence of a great failure of American macroeconomic policy, its conquest should be counted as a triumph.

Inflation Rates 2016-2045


YEAR   AMOUNT INFLATION % ACTUAL VALUE
2016 100,000 2.0 102,000
2017 102,000 2.1 102,304
2018 102,304 2.2 104,555
2019 104,555 2.3 106,960
2020 106,960 2.4 109,530
2021 109,530 2.52 112,290
2022 112,290 2.63 115,243
2023 115,243 2.75 118,412
2024 118,412 2.89 121,834
2025 121,834 3.0 125,489
2026 125,489 3.1 129,379
2027 129,379 3.22 133,545
2028 133,545 3.33 137,992
2029 137,992 3.35 142,615
2030 142,615 3.37 147,421
2031 147,421 3.5 153,171
2032 153,171 3.5 158,532
2033 158,532 3.5 164,080
2034 164,080 3.5 169,823
2035 169,823 3.5 175,767
2036 175,767 3.5 181,919
2037 181,919 3.5 188,286
2038 188,286 3.5 194,876
2039 194,876 3.5 201,697
2040 201,697 3.5 208,756
2041 208,756 3.5 216,063
2042 216,063 3.5 223,625
2043 223,625 3.5 231,452
2044 231,452 3.5 239,553
2045 239,553 3.5 247,937      


Historical data on Inflation from 1914 till today is freely available.

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