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Saturday, 9 August 2025
Friday, 8 August 2025
IS DISSECTING SHORT DECISIVE WARS IN PUBLIC WISE?
WHY WAR LESSONS MUST STAY CLASSIFIED
Air Marshal R Nambiar PVSM AVSM VM & BAR VSM
Admiral Arun Prakash’s recent article, “After Operation
Sindoor, Don’t Delay the Stocktaking,” has sparked widespread interest and
lively debate. A decorated war hero and recipient of the Vir Chakra for
gallantry during the 1971 Indo-Pak War, Admiral Prakash commands respect across
military and civilian circles alike. His dual-service career in both the Indian
Navy and Air Force lends weight to his strategic insights. However, his
critique of the Indian Air Force’s (IAF) performance in the ongoing Operation
Sindoor raises a fundamental concern: should lessons from an active military
operation be publicly dissected?
While his observations stem from distinguished service
and strategic depth, the public dissemination of such analysis—particularly
mid-conflict—carries serious risks. As an IAF veteran, I find this deeply
unsettling. Revealing operational insights, even with the best intentions, can
inadvertently benefit adversaries. Worse still, it risks undermining the morale
and operational freedom of our serving forces at a critical juncture.
The Danger of Public Debriefs
Admiral Prakash’s article essentially performs a
debrief in public—an approach more suited to secure military settings than open
forums. In classified environments, post-operation reviews are indispensable
tools. They help commanders refine tactics and strategy through rigorous
internal scrutiny. But when operational critiques are published in the public
domain, they become treasure troves of information for hostile intelligence.
Modern warfare is not confined to battlefields; it
plays out in psychological, informational, and cyber domains. Every
detail—sortie rates, weapon choices, target patterns, or even apparent gaps—can
be exploited to construct a revealing picture of our operational thinking. In
an active campaign like Operation Sindoor, such disclosures risk shifting the
psychological advantage to the enemy.
Seemingly minor details, when collated by hostile
analysts, can become key intelligence. Past operations like Kargil (1999) and
Balakot (2019) underscore the value of disciplined silence. Their success was
rooted not just in combat prowess but in operational secrecy that kept
adversaries guessing. The same ethos must govern Operation Sindoor.
Moreover, fixating on losses—whether aircraft, tanks,
or personnel—harkens back to outdated metrics such as “body counts” or kill
ratios, often irrelevant in modern strategic contexts. Victory today is
measured in capability degradation, strategic leverage, and deterrence—not
simply in numerical attrition.
Secrecy as Strategy
Operational security is not an impediment to
transparency—it is a strategic imperative. Kargil and Balakot demonstrated the
importance of need-to-know compartmentalisation. In both cases, critical
lessons were internalised and applied effectively without media fanfare. The
IAF’s ability to maintain the element of surprise was crucial to operational
success.
Operation Sindoor demands similar restraint. The IAF
has not officially acknowledged any losses—standard protocol during ongoing
missions. Once operations conclude, the force has consistently shown
transparency in reviewing and reporting lessons learned. Premature speculation
or disclosure, however well-intentioned, serves no strategic purpose and risks
giving adversaries a cognitive edge.
Instead of dissecting our own performance mid-conflict,
public attention should focus on the gains: the rapid degradation of the
adversary’s air force and military infrastructure within the first 90 hours of
Operation Sindoor. That outcome, rather than our own attrition, should define
public perception.
The “Need-to-Know” Principle: Military Security’s
Bedrock
The IAF follows time-tested systems of internal review
through secure briefings, war colleges, and classified reports. These forums transform
operational experience into doctrinal evolution—away from prying eyes. The
“need-to-know” principle is not designed to suppress discourse but to channel
it constructively and securely.
Veterans like Admiral Prakash hold deep reservoirs of
experience. Their wisdom is invaluable—within appropriate forums. Behind closed
doors, they mentor the next generation and enrich our strategic institutions.
But open analysis of current operations can inadvertently expose tactical or
technological gaps, and sometimes reflect an understanding outpaced by new
domains of warfare, such as network-centric operations or AI-enabled targeting.
Veterans must also respect that accountability and
authority reside with serving personnel and elected leadership. The baton has
been passed. Our successors carry the operational burden and must be empowered
to do so without being second-guessed in the public eye.
A Call for Discretion
This is not a dismissal of Admiral Prakash’s right to
express his views. His service is legendary, and his intention undoubtedly
patriotic. But discretion is vital during active operations. Lessons drawn in
the crucible of conflict must be protected—not broadcast. The strategic value
of such insights lies in their application, not in their publication.
The legacy of Kargil and Balakot is not only one of
bravery in battle, but also of operational discretion. Let Operation Sindoor
follow in that tradition. Let us trust in the processes that have long guided
the IAF and the government to assess, absorb, and act—at the right time, and in
the right way.
Veterans have served with honour. Now, let us honour
those who serve today—by giving them the space, confidence, and security they
need to carry forward our proud military tradition.
AIR DOMINANCE TO THE FORE
90 Hours of Dominance: The Decisive Role of the Indian Air Force in Shaping Modern Warfare
Air Marshal Raghunath Nambiar PVSM AVSM VM & BAR (Ret’d)
As an Indian Air Force
Veteran, one reflects with immense pride on the unprecedented and decisive role
played by the Indian Air Force (IAF) in compelling the Pakistani forces to seek
a ceasefire a mere 90 hours after the initiation of full-scale offensive air
operations by India. This swift outcome stands as a unique testament to the
efficacy of Air Power in modern warfare and marks a significant milestone in Military
History.
The catalyst for this telling robust
response was the reprehensible murder of 26 innocent tourists in Kashmir on 22 April 2025,
a heinous act targeting the Hindu community and demanding a firm, unequivocal and unforgettable answer.
The Indian Air Force immediately brought
its formidable capabilities to bear, deploying a potent combination of advanced
aerial assets. This included the agile Rafale fighters, the versatile Mirage
2000s, the powerful Su-30 MKIs, the reliable MiG-29s and the trustworthy Jaguars. Each
of these platforms played its predefined crucial role in the ensuing operations, showcasing
the IAF's multi-faceted strike capabilities.
The sequence of these
historic events unfolded with precision and intensity a fortnight later.
Offensive air operations commenced on the night of May 6th/early morning of May 7th
at 0115 hours, with pre-planned coordinated long-range strikes against nine identified
terrorist camps located within Pakistan and Pakistan-occupied Kashmir. These
initial strikes were aimed exclusively at terrorist infrastructure used to
perpetrate violence against India and employed vectors such as the Hammer,
Rampage, and Spice 1000/2000. The stated intent of India was to
differentiate between the State of Pakistan and the state-sponsored terrorist
entities funded and controlled by the Government of Pakistan.
Pakistan's retaliatory
actions definitely resulted in attrition on the Indian side and caused the
conflict to escalate. The IAF reacted with a technologically superior and
strategically astute riposte. On the morning of May 8th, the IAF effectively
utilised Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) such as the Harpy and Harrop loitering
munitions. These assets proved instrumental in neutralising a significant
number of Pakistan's Air Defence (AD) assets. Furthermore, the strategic
employment of the S-400 Air Defence System against Pakistani aircraft at long
ranges demonstrated the IAF's capacity to dominate the airspace and protect
Indian assets while projecting power.
The pressure on the
adversary was relentlessly escalated. On May 9th and 10th, the IAF executed
strikes with long-range vectors. The Rafale aircraft, armed with SCALP cruise
missiles, and the Su-30 MKIs, equipped with the BrahMos-A air-launched cruise
missiles, conducted deep strikes at multiple enemy air bases with precision.
These aerial attacks were complemented by strikes from land-based BrahMos
missile systems, creating a multi-pronged assault that overwhelmed Pakistan's
defensive capabilities.
The cumulative impact of
these relentless and precise offensive operations by the Indian Air Force was
undeniable. By 1535 hours on May 10th, the Director General of Military
Operations (DGMO) of Pakistan was compelled to request a ceasefire. The
ceasefire subsequently came into effect at 1700 hours on the same evening. It
is pertinent to note that the Indian Air Force, confident in its operational
momentum and ability to further degrade the enemy's war-waging potential, was
willing to continue offensive action.
The events of those 90 hours
underscore the pivotal and decisive role of the Indian Air Force. It was the
sustained and impactful application of air power, targeting critical enemy
infrastructure and capabilities that directly led to the Pakistani
establishment suing for peace in such a remarkably short timeframe. While
broader geopolitical considerations and actions by other arms of the military
played their part, the offensive air campaign was undoubtedly the principal
factor that broke the enemy's will to continue the conflict. The IAF's ability
to project power, achieve air dominance, and deliver precision strikes proved to
be the linchpin of India's response, compelling a swift cessation of
hostilities on terms favourable to India.
This operation will be
studied for generations as an exemplary clinical demonstration of how strategic Air Power can
shape the outcome of a conflict with unparalleled speed and decisiveness.
AIR MARSHAL RAGHUNATH NAMBIAR
PVSM, AVSM, VM & BAR (Ret’d)
Thursday, 7 August 2025
DID THE INDIAN NAVY TAKE PART IN OP SINDOOR?
Indian Navy Stood Tall In Operation Sindoor
Admiral Arun Prakash (Ret’d) PVSM, AVSM, VrC, VSM May 20, 2025
OPERATION Sindoor has
served as a compelling demonstration of India’s growing military capabilities
in several key areas. The technical means to acquire intelligence of targets
deep inside the opponent’s territory; to strike them with long-range missiles
with pinpoint accuracy — all the while maintaining a multi-layered, impervious
air defence of its own assets. This capacity for waging “non-contact warfare”,
using guided weapons and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) without ground troops
or air forces crossing borders, marks a paradigm shift in warfare.
In this context, maritime
power has, historically, specialised in employing strategies that aim to achieve
political objectives through their presence and “non-contact” force projection
rather than by engaging in direct combat. Decades ago, Admiral Sergey Gorshkov
(Commander-in-Chief, Soviet Navy, 1956-85) had described the perennial utility
of naval power: “Demonstrative actions by the fleet, in many cases, have made
it possible to achieve political ends without resorting to armed action, merely
by application of pressure and threat of military operations.”
The Indian Navy’s (IN)
2015 maritime strategy offers, in detail, various options for potential force
projection. These include maritime strikes with carrier-borne aircraft or
long-range weapons like the ship-launched BrahMos, or the
ship/submarine-launched Klub land-attack missiles. In order to apply ‘strategic
leverage, including economic and psychological pressure’, the strategy also
envisages disruption/denial of the adversary’s use of the sea for military
purposes and maritime trade.
The IN, while drawing up
its contingency plans for Operation Sindoor in coordination with sister
services, would have taken note of Pakistan’s maritime vulnerabilities stemming
from its geography, relatively limited naval capabilities and economic
dependence on key coastal infrastructure.
Pakistan’s 1,000-km-long
coastline, stretching mostly across the troubled province of Balochistan, hosts
just a handful of ports. Of these, only Karachi, Port Qasim and Gwadar handle
merchant ship traffic, while Ormara is a naval base and the rest are fishing
harbours. Pakistan’s economy, already strained, relies heavily on maritime
trade, mostly through Karachi and Port Qasim. Disruption of shipping traffic to
and from these ports, even temporarily, can cause a significant impact on
Pakistan’s economy, industry and military operations, apart from affecting
public wellbeing and morale.
As far as naval strength
goes, the IN is a diverse and substantial force organised into two fleets, each
fielding an aircraft carrier and a cohort of missile-armed destroyers and
frigates as well as fleet support vessels. India’s submarine force of nuclear
and diesel-powered submarines is strategically deployed on both seaboards. The
Pakistan Navy (PN) is relatively smaller and lacks many of these key assets.
While the IN aspires to
play the role of a blue-water navy, with power-projection capabilities across
the Indian Ocean and beyond, the PN’s focus is primarily on coastal defence and
maintaining credible maritime deterrence against India through a strategy of
“sea denial”. Although the past few decades have seen both navies growing in
size and capabilities, the IN has managed to retain its significant edge.
In the 1971 war, India’s
maritime power had played a key role in the outcome of the operations in both
theatres of war. In the west, it had undertaken two attacks with ship-launched
surface-to-surface missiles, inflicting attrition on the PN and heavy damage to
the Karachi port, bringing its operations to a halt. In the eastern theatre,
the IN’s carrier-borne aircraft had ranged far and wide over East Pakistan and
inflicted heavy damage on ports, shipping and riverine traffic. The trauma of
this conflict has lingered in the Pakistani psyche, and PN units did not
venture forth during Operation Sindoor.
Today, a major advantage
accrues to the IN from its comprehensive capability for “maritime domain
awareness”. This is a dynamic framework that receives inputs from satellites,
aircraft, UAVs, ships and coastal radars to compile a real-time operational
picture of all activities at sea in the region. The availability of
“situational awareness” on a 24x7 basis in all three dimensions enables the IN
to keep track of the adversary’s moves and respond with alacrity to any
suspicious activity. The PN lacks a similar facility.
‘Naval compellence’ has,
historically, been a useful instrument of state policy to influence the
behaviour of others and force an adversary to do something he does not want to
do, or to stop him from doing something that he intends to do. This is achieved
by the deployment of coercive sea-based forces, which may or may not involve
actual violence.
During media briefings by
the three armed forces, the Director General of Naval Operations announced that
within hours of the Pahalgam terror attack, the IN had deployed a powerful task
force composed of destroyers, frigates and submarines, led by the aircraft
carrier, INS Vikrant, in the Arabian Sea, south of Karachi. Posing a serious
challenge in numbers and capability to the Pakistani fleet, this force
established a de facto blockade, confining PN units to their harbours. Units of
the task force are understood to have conducted live missile firing drills to
revalidate crew readiness and ensure operational preparedness of units.
From its location in
international waters, where it could have remained poised for prolonged
periods, the IN carrier group acted as a force for ‘compellence’. Through rapid
deployment and strategic positioning of overwhelming maritime power, India
confined Pakistan’s navy to harbour, disrupted its maritime operations and
reinforced its dominance in the Arabian Sea.
The IN task force had ample firepower to target ships, harbours and shore facilities with missiles having a range up to 300-450 km at sea. But the Navy, true to its sobriquet of the “Silent Service”, has not said so.
This article has been taken from the Tribune newspaper of 20 May 2025. It can be found at this source: https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/comment/indian-navy-stood-tall-in-operation-sindoor/